Coca-Cola EP PLC - Q3 Trading Update & Interim Dividend Declaration
COCA-COLA EUROPACIFIC PARTNERS
Trading Update for the Third Quarter ended
Solid third quarter; reaffirming full-year guidance
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Change vs 2024 |
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Revenue |
Volume |
Revenue per UC[1],[2],[3] |
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Comparable Volume[1] |
Revenue per UC[1],[2],[3] |
FXN[1],[3] revenue |
Revenue |
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Q3 2025 |
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701m |
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0.9% |
3.4% |
4.2% |
3.8% |
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APS |
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311m |
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(0.6)% |
0.3% |
(0.2)% |
(7.7)% |
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CCEP |
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1,012m |
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0.4% |
2.7% |
3.2% |
1.0% |
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YTD 2025 |
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1,947m |
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0.1% |
3.9% |
3.0% |
3.1% |
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APS |
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997m |
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11.5% |
(1.6)% |
9.1% |
3.9% |
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CCEP |
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2,944m |
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3.7% |
1.7% |
4.5% |
3.3% |
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Change vs 2024 |
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Adjusted comparable revenue[4] |
Adjusted comparable volume (UC)[4]
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Adjusted comparable revenue per UC[4] |
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Adjusted comparable volume[4]
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Adjusted comparable revenue per UC[4]
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Adjusted comparable FXN revenue[4]
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Adjusted comparable revenue[4] |
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Q3 2025 |
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701m |
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0.9% |
3.4% |
4.2% |
3.8% |
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APS |
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311m |
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(0.6)% |
0.3% |
(0.2)% |
(7.7)% |
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CCEP |
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1,012m |
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0.4% |
2.7% |
3.2% |
1.0% |
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YTD 2025 |
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1,947m |
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0.1% |
3.9% |
3.0% |
3.1% |
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APS |
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997m |
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0.8% |
2.3% |
2.1% |
(2.8)% |
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CCEP |
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2,944m |
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0.3% |
3.4% |
2.7% |
1.5% |
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"2025 continues to be a solid year for CCEP, reflecting our great brands, great people, great execution and strong relationships with our brand partners and customers. We've delivered another quarter of volume growth in
"We're leading the way in creating value for our customers and growing share ahead of the market, delivering solid gains in revenue per unit case through effective revenue and margin growth management, balancing premiumisation with affordability.
"Although the global macroeconomic environment remains volatile, we remain resilient, operating in attractive and growing categories. We have strong plans for the rest of the year and beyond, including exciting collaborations with the
"Our performance, coupled with our continued focus on productivity, is driving strong and profitable cash generation, supporting record investment in future growth, a growing dividend and ongoing share buybacks. We're pleased to reaffirm our full-year guidance and remain confident we have the right strategy, done sustainably, to deliver on our mid-term growth objectives."
Comparable volume movements adjust for the impact of selling day movements, with two fewer selling days in Q1'25 versus Q1'24
All footnotes included after the 'About CCEP' section
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Q3 & YTD HIGHLIGHTS[1],[4] |
Volume & revenue
Q3 Reported Revenue +1.0%; Adjusted Comparable FXN +3.2%[4]
YTD Reported Revenue +3.3%; Adjusted Comparable FXN +2.7%[4]
• Delivered more revenue growth for our retail customers YTD than any of our FMCG peers[5] in the growing NARTD category (YTD +6%)
• NARTD YTD value share[5] gains +20 bps across measured channels
• Transactions in Q3 slightly lower than volume reflecting weather affected
• Q3 Adjusted Comparable Volume +0.4%[4];YTD +0.3%[4]
◦ By geography:
▪
▪ APS -0.6% reflecting:
•
•
◦ By channel: AFH -0.4%, Home +1.7%
▪
▪ APS: AFH -1.8% (YTD: -0.7%), Home +5.3% (YTD: +5.1%)
• Q3 adjusted comparable revenue per unit case +2.7%[2],[3],[4] reflecting positive headline pricing, promotional optimisation & positive pack mix
•
• APS: +0.3% reflecting headline price increases offset by the exit of Suntory alcohol distribution in
Dividend
• Second half interim dividend per share of
• Resulting in full-year dividend per share of
Other
•
• Sustainability highlights:
◦ Seventh consecutive year 'A' CDP supplier engagement rating for global supply
◦ Continued progress on collection in APS, with new schemes & partnerships in
Year on year volume movements are disclosed on a comparable & adjusted comparable basis which (i) assumes the acquisition of
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FY25 GUIDANCE[1],[4] |
Outlook for FY25 reflects our current assessment of market conditions. Unless stated otherwise, guidance is on an adjusted comparable[4] & FX-neutral basis.
(Based on current spot rates, FX represents a full year headwind of ~180 basis points to revenue & ~200 basis points to operating profit)
Revenue: growth of 3% to 4%
• Two fewer selling days in Q1'25 vs Q1'24
• One additional selling day in Q4'25 vs Q4'24
Cost of sales per UC: comparable growth of ~2.5% (previously ~2%)
• Expect broadly flat commodity inflation (hedge coverage >95%)
• Concentrate directly linked to revenue per UC through incidence pricing
Operating profit: growth of ~7%
Comparable effective tax rate: ~26%
CAPEX: ~5% of revenue (incl. leases)
Comparable free cash flow: at least
Dividend payout ratio: ~50%[7] based on comparable EPS
Share buyback:
completed to date)[14]
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Q3 & YTD Revenue Performance by Geography[1] |
All values are unaudited and all references to volumes are on a comparable basis for
All changes are versus prior year equivalent period unless stated otherwise.
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Q3 |
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YTD |
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Fx-neutral |
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Fx-neutral |
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€ million |
% change |
% change |
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€ million |
% change |
% change |
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FBN[8] |
1,379 |
6.2 % |
5.9 % |
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4,051 |
4.6 % |
4.4 % |
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832 |
1.0 % |
1.0 % |
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2,379 |
0.6 % |
0.6 % |
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918 |
5.9 % |
8.4 % |
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2,615 |
6.3 % |
6.2 % |
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Iberia[9] |
1,065 |
1.3 % |
1.3 % |
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2,620 |
0.0 % |
0.0 % |
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Total |
4,194 |
3.8 % |
4.2 % |
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11,665 |
3.1 % |
3.0 % |
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739 |
(8.3) % |
0.1 % |
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2,352 |
(2.7) % |
3.5 % |
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477 |
(6.8) % |
(0.6) % |
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1,667 |
(2.9) % |
0.1 % |
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Total APS[4] |
1,216 |
(7.7) % |
(0.2) % |
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4,019 |
(2.8) % |
2.1 % |
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Total CCEP |
5,410 |
1.0 % |
3.2 % |
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15,684 |
1.5 % |
2.7 % |
FBN[8]
• Low single-digit volume increase in Q3 driven by the Nordics;
• Volumes driven by growth in Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Sprite (new listings in
• YTD revenue/UC[10] growth reflects headline price increases, positive pack mix & brand mix from growth of Energy.
• Low single-digit volume decline in Q3 with strong growth of Coca-Cola Zero & Monster more than offset by decline in Coca-Cola Original Taste & Fanta.
• Volume decline driven by softer consumer demand with deeper focus on affordability & value for money. Q3 AFH volumes down mid single-digit.
• YTD revenue/UC[10] growth driven by headline price increase, supported by positive pack mix from growth of cans & decline in large PET.
• Mid single-digit volume increase in Q3 driven by growth in Home & AFH, supported by better weather during key summer months.
• Double-digit volume increase in Monster, Sprite & Dr. Pepper, with overall growth in Coca-Cola TM driven by growth in Zero Sugar & Diet Coke supported by great activation & promo activity.
• Strong performance in ARTD driven by growth of multipacks in Home channel.
• YTD revenue/UC[10] growth reflects headline price increase & positive brand mix supported by the growth of Monster.
Iberia[9]
• Volume in Q3 broadly flat with growth in
• Fuze Tea strengthening leadership position in RTD tea category as transition from Nestea progresses ahead of plan. Excluding RTD tea, total volumes up low single-digit.
• Continued strong growth in Monster & in Sports driven by Aquarius. Body Armor introduced towards end of Q3 in
• YTD revenue/UC[10] growth driven by headline price increase.
• Low single-digit volume increase in Q3 driven by growth in PNG &
• New multi-year agreement for distribution of Bacardi premium spirits & ARTD brands in
• Strong growth in Coca-Cola Zero Sugar & continued improvement in performance of Diet Coke driving volume growth in overall Coca-Cola TM.
• Fanta continued to perform well supported by great execution & the Q1 launch of
• Energy volumes grew double-digit supported by the launch of Ultra Vice Guava, alongside continued growth in original Ultra White.
• Lower Q3 revenue/UC[10] driven by Suntory exit, with YTD growth driven largely by headline price increases & pack mix benefit from continued growth of mini cans up around 10%.
• Q3 volumes in
• The Q3 rate of decline in
• Revenue/UC[10] growth reflects headline price increases in
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Q3 & YTD Volume Performance by Category[1],[4],[6] |
All values are unaudited & all references to volumes are on an adjusted comparable basis. All changes are versus prior year equivalent period unless stated otherwise.
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Q3 |
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YTD |
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% of Total |
% Change |
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% of Total |
% Change |
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Coca-Cola® |
58.4 % |
0.1 % |
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58.8 % |
0.3 % |
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Flavours & Mixers |
21.3 % |
(0.7) % |
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21.6 % |
(1.1) % |
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Water, Sports, RTD Tea & Coffee[13] |
12.5 % |
(1.7) % |
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11.9 % |
(0.9) % |
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Other inc. Energy |
7.8 % |
10.5 % |
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7.7 % |
7.6 % |
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Total |
100.0 % |
0.4 % |
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100.0 % |
0.3 % |
Coca-Cola®
Q3: +0.1%; YTD: +0.3%
• Great activation & execution of new
• Coca-Cola Original Taste Q3 -2.6% (YTD: -1.6%), supported by new campaigns, with benefit offset by decline in
• Coca-Cola Zero Sugar Q3 +6.3% (YTD: +5.3%) with growth in both
• Continued improvement in Diet Coke; broadly flat in Q3.
Flavours & Mixers
Q3: -0.7%; YTD: -1.1%
• Sprite Q3 +4.2% (YTD: +0.7%) supported by new listings in GB & FBN.
• Fanta Q3 -3.4% (YTD: -2.8%) driven by decline in
• Continuing double-digit volume increase for Dr. Pepper in GB driven by new
Water, Sports, RTD Tea & Coffee[13]
Q3: -1.7%; YTD: -0.9%
• Water Q3 +2.4% (YTD: +3.2%) driven by Wilkins Pure in
•
• Q3 RTD Tea & Coffee -15.5% (YTD: -13.6%) driven by Frestea decline in
Other inc. Energy
Q3: +10.5%; YTD: +7.6% (+13.8% exc. Juices)
• Impressive growth in Energy with Q3 +24.0% (YTD: +17.8%) supported by success of new launches e.g.
• Ongoing rollout of ARTD portfolio continues to perform strongly in
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Conference Call |
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• Replay & transcript will be available at www.cocacolaep.com as soon as possible
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Dividend |
• The CCEP Board of Directors declared a second half interim dividend of
• CCEP will pay the interim dividend in euros to holders of shares on Euronext Amsterdam, the
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Financial Calendar |
• Q4 & FY 2025 Results:
• Financial calendar available here: https://ir.cocacolaep.com/financial-calendar/
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Contacts |
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Investor Relations |
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Dimitar Todorchev |
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Media Relations Contacts |
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About CCEP |
world's most loved brands - serving nearly 600 million consumers & helping over 4 million customers across 31 countries grow.
We combine the strength & scale of a large, multi-national business with an expert, local knowledge of the customers we serve & communities we support.
The Company is currently listed on Euronext Amsterdam, NASDAQ,
For more information about CCEP, please visit www.cocacolaep.com & follow CCEP on LinkedIn
___________________
1. Refer to 'Note Regarding the Presentation of Adjusted financial information & Alternative Performance Measures' for further details & to 'Supplementary Financial Information' for a reconciliation of reported to comparable & reported to adjusted comparable results; Change percentages against prior year equivalent period unless stated otherwise
2. A unit case equals approximately 5.678 litres or 24 8-ounce servings
3. Comparable & FX-neutral
4. Non-IFRS adjusted comparable financial information as if the acquisition of
5. External data sources: Nielsen & IRI Period 9 YTD
6. Reflects selling day shift with 2 fewer selling days YTD'25 versus YTD'24. Excluding the selling days adjusted volumes were CCEP -0.7% (
7. Dividends subject to Board approval
8. Includes France,
9. Includes Spain,
10. Revenue per unit case
11. Includes Australia,
12. Includes Philippines &
13. RTD refers to ready to drink
14. As of
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Forward-Looking Statements |
This document contains statements, estimates or projections that constitute "forward-looking statements" concerning the financial condition, performance, results, guidance and outlook, dividends, consequences of mergers, acquisitions, joint ventures, divestitures, strategy and objectives of
Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks that could cause actual results to differ materially. Forward-looking statements are based upon various assumptions as well as CCEP's historical experience and present expectations or projections. As a result, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made. Factors that, in CCEP's view, could cause such actual results to differ materially from forward looking statements include, but are not limited to, those set forth in the "Risk Factors" section of CCEP's 2024 Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the
Due to these risks, CCEP's actual future financial condition, results of operations, and business activities, including its results, dividend payments, capital and leverage ratios, growth, including growth in revenue, cost of sales per unit case and operating profit, free cash flow, market share, tax rate, efficiency savings, achievement of sustainability goals, including net zero emissions and recycling initiatives, capital expenditures, may differ materially from the plans, goals, expectations and guidance set out in forward-looking statements. These risks may also adversely affect CCEP's share price. CCEP does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, except as required under applicable rules, laws and regulations.
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Note Regarding the Presentation of Adjusted financial information and Alternative Performance Measures |
Adjusted financial information
Non-IFRS adjusted financial information for selected metrics has been provided in order to illustrate the effects of the acquisition of CCBPI on the results of operations of CCEP in 2024 and to allow for greater comparability of the results of the combined group between periods. The adjusted financial information has been prepared for illustrative purposes only, and because of its nature addresses a hypothetical situation. It does not intend to represent the results had the acquisition occurred at the dates indicated, or project the results for any future dates or periods. It is based on information and assumptions that CCEP believe are reasonable, including assumptions as at
The non-IFRS adjusted financial information has not been prepared in accordance with the requirements of Regulation S-X Article 11 of the US Securities Act of 1933 or any generally accepted accounting standards, may not necessarily be comparable to similarly titled measures employed by other companies and should be considered supplemental to, and not a substitute for, financial information prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting standards.
The acquisition completed on
Alternative Performance Measures
We use certain alternative performance measures (non-IFRS performance measures) to make financial, operating and planning decisions and to evaluate and report performance. We believe these measures provide useful information to investors and as such, where clearly identified, we have included certain alternative performance measures in this document to allow investors to better analyse our business performance and allow for greater comparability. To do so, we have excluded items affecting the comparability of period-over-period financial performance as described below. The alternative performance measures included herein should be read in conjunction with and do not replace the directly reconcilable IFRS measures.
For purposes of this document, the following terms are defined:
''As reported'' are results extracted from our unaudited consolidated financial statements.
"Adjusted" includes the results of CCEP as if the CCBPI acquisition had occurred at the beginning of 2024, including acquisition accounting adjustments, accounting policy reclassifications and the impact of debt financing costs in connection with the acquisition.
"Comparable'' is defined as results excluding items impacting comparability, such as restructuring charges. Comparable volume is also adjusted for selling days.
''Adjusted comparable" is defined as adjusted results excluding items impacting comparability, as described above.
''Fx-neutral'' or "FXN" is defined as period results excluding the impact of foreign exchange rate changes. Foreign exchange impact is calculated by recasting current year results at prior year exchange rates.
''Capex'' or "Capital expenditures'' is defined as purchases of property, plant and equipment and capitalised software, plus payments of principal on lease obligations, less proceeds from disposals of property, plant and equipment. Capex is used as a measure to ensure that cash spending on capital investment is in line with the Group's overall strategy for the use of cash.
''Comparable free cash flow'' is defined as net cash flows from operating activities less capital expenditures (as defined above) and net interest payments, adjusted for items that are not reasonably likely to recur within two years, nor have occurred within the prior two years. Comparable free cash flow is used as a measure of the Group's cash generation from operating activities, taking into account investments in property, plant and equipment, non-discretionary lease and net interest payments while excluding the effects of items that are unusual in nature to allow for better period over period comparability. Comparable free cash flow reflects an additional way of viewing our liquidity, which we believe is useful to our investors, and is not intended to represent residual cash flow available for discretionary expenditures.
''Dividend payout ratio'' is defined as dividends as a proportion of comparable profit after tax.
Additionally, within this document, we provide certain forward-looking non-IFRS financial information, which management uses for planning and measuring performance. We are not able to reconcile forward-looking non-IFRS measures to reported measures without unreasonable efforts because it is not possible to predict with a reasonable degree of certainty the actual impact or exact timing of items that may impact comparability throughout year.
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Supplemental Financial Information - Revenue - Reported to Adjusted Comparable |
Revenue
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Adjusted Revenue CCEP In millions of €, except per case data which is calculated prior to rounding. FX impact calculated by recasting current year results at prior year rates. |
Third-Quarter Ended |
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Nine Months Ended |
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% Change |
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% Change |
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As reported and comparable |
5,410 |
5,358 |
1.0 % |
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15,684 |
15,186 |
3.3 % |
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Add: Adjusted revenue impact [1] |
- |
- |
n/a |
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- |
268 |
n/a |
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Adjusted comparable |
5,410 |
5,358 |
1.0 % |
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15,684 |
15,454 |
1.5 % |
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Adjust: Impact of fx changes |
117 |
n/a |
n/a |
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191 |
n/a |
n/a |
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Adjusted Comparable and fx-neutral |
5,527 |
5,358 |
3.2 % |
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15,875 |
15,454 |
2.7 % |
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Adjusted Revenue per unit case |
5.46 |
5.32 |
2.7 % |
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5.39 |
5.21 |
3.4 % |
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Adjusted Revenue APS |
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As reported and comparable |
1,216 |
1,318 |
(7.7) % |
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4,019 |
3,867 |
3.9 % |
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Add: Adjusted revenue impact [1] |
- |
- |
n/a |
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- |
268 |
n/a |
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Adjusted comparable |
1,216 |
1,318 |
(7.7) % |
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4,019 |
4,135 |
(2.8) % |
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Adjust: Impact of fx changes |
100 |
n/a |
n/a |
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201 |
n/a |
n/a |
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Adjusted Comparable and fx-neutral |
1,316 |
1,318 |
(0.2) % |
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4,220 |
4,135 |
2.1 % |
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Adjusted Revenue per unit case |
4.23 |
4.22 |
0.3 % |
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4.23 |
4.14 |
2.3 % |
[1] The adjusted revenue impact reflects the inclusion of
Volume
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Adjusted Comparable Volume - Selling Day Shift CCEP In millions of unit cases, prior period volume recast using current year selling days. |
Third-Quarter Ended |
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Nine Months Ended |
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% Change |
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% Change |
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Volume |
1,012 |
1,008 |
0.4 % |
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2,944 |
2,864 |
2.8 % |
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Impact of selling day shift |
n/a |
- |
n/a |
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n/a |
(25) |
n/a |
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Comparable volume - Selling Day Shift adjusted |
1,012 |
1,008 |
0.4 % |
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2,944 |
2,839 |
3.7 % |
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Add: Adjusted volume impact[1] |
- |
- |
n/a |
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- |
95 |
n/a |
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Adjusted comparable volume |
1,012 |
1,008 |
0.4 % |
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2,944 |
2,934 |
0.3 % |
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Adjusted Comparable Volume - Selling Day Shift APS |
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Volume |
311 |
313 |
(0.6) % |
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997 |
899 |
10.9 % |
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Impact of selling day shift |
n/a |
- |
n/a |
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n/a |
(5) |
n/a |
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Comparable volume - Selling Day Shift adjusted |
311 |
313 |
(0.6) % |
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997 |
894 |
11.5 % |
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Add: Adjusted volume impact[1] |
- |
- |
n/a |
|
- |
95 |
n/a |
|
Adjusted comparable volume |
311 |
313 |
(0.6) % |
|
997 |
989 |
0.8 % |
[1] The adjusted volume impact reflects the inclusion of
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