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Guidance

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This page contains forward looking statements & alternative performance measures. Please see the bottom of this page for further details.

The guidance for FY21 reflects our current assessment of the scale and magnitude of the COVID-19 pandemic, which is subject to change as we continue to monitor ongoing developments. Guidance is on a comparable basis, reflecting the timing impact of the acquisition of API which completed on 10 May 2021, and based on actual FX rates.

Financial metric FY21 guidance
Revenue Comparable growth of 26-28%[1]
Operating profit Comparable growth of 40-44%[1]
Comparable effective tax rate ~20%[1]
Dividend payout ratio c.50%[1][2]

[1]Reflects the timing of the acquisition of API which completed on 10 May 2021; based on actual FX rates as at 26 August 2021

[2]Subject to Board approval

Mid Term Annual Objectives

Financial metric Mid term annual objectives
Revenue growth Low-single digit[1]
Operating profit growth Mid-single digit[1]
Free cash flow At least €1.25bn per annum
Net debt / adjusted ebitda 2.5X – 3.0X
ROIC c.+40 basis points per annum
Diluted eps growth Mid-single digit[1],[2]
Capex[4] c.5% of revenue
Dividend payout ratio Approximately 50%[3]

[1]Mid Term Annual Objectives for revenue, operating profit, and diluted EPS is comparable and fx-neutral.

[2]Mid Term EPS growth excludes share buybacks.

[3]Dividends subject to Board approval.

[4]~6% capex as a % of revenue, including payments of principal on lease obligations.

Forward Looking Statements

This page contains statements, estimates or projections that constitute “forward-looking statements” concerning the financial condition, performance, results, strategy and objectives of Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc and its subsidiaries (together “CCEP” or the “Group”). Generally, the words “believe,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “project,” “plan,” “seek,” “may,” “could,” “would,” “should,” “might,” “will,” “forecast,” “outlook,” “guidance,” “possible,” “potential,” “predict,” “objective” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, which generally are not historical in nature.

Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from CCEP’s historical experience and present expectations or projections, including with respect to the acquisition of Coca-Cola Amatil Limited and its subsidiaries (together “CCL” or “API”) completed on 10 May 2021 (the “Acquisition”). As a result, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made. These risks include but are not limited to:

  1. those set forth in the “Risk Factors” section of CCEP’s 2020 Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the SEC on 12 March 2021, including the statements under the following headings: Business continuity and resilience (such as the adverse impact that the COVID-19 pandemic and related government restrictions and social distancing measures implemented in many of our markets, and any associated economic downturn, global supply chain pressure, availability of key materials, may have on our financial results, operations, workforce and demand for our products); Packaging (such as refillables and the increased footprint of our packaging in developing markets with limited plastic waste collection and recycling infrastructure); Cyber and social engineering attacks and IT infrastructure; Economic and political conditions (such as the UK’s exit from the EU, the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement, uncertainty about the future relationship between the UK and EU and ongoing economic instability in Papua New Guinea); Market (such as disruption due to customer negotiations, customer consolidation and route to market); Legal, regulatory and tax (such as the development of regulations regarding packaging, taxes and deposit return schemes);Climate change and water (such as net zero emission legislation and regulation, resource scarcity and physical manifestations of climate change in the Australia, Pacific and Indonesia region such as increased temperatures, altered rainfall patterns, more frequent or intense extreme events such as heatwaves, drought, storms and increased frequency of natural disasters); Perceived health impact of our beverages and ingredients, and changing consumer buying trends (such as sugar alternatives and other ingredients); Competitiveness, business transformation and integration (such as reduction of total debt outstanding for the funding of the acquisition); People and wellbeing (such as the risk of serious injury through industrial and traffic accidents, particularly in Indonesia); Relationship with The Coca-Cola Company (“TCCC”) and other franchisors; Product quality; and Other risks as updated and supplemented with the additional information set forth in the “Principal Risks and Risk Factors” section of this document (such as in relation to the impacts of the Acquisition, COVID-19, the potential for fraudulent activity to create negative reputational and cultural impacts and the existence of corruption risks, particularly in developing markets such as Indonesia, Papua New Guinea and the Pacific Islands);
  2. those set forth in the "Business and Sustainability Risks" section of CCL's 2020 Financial and Statutory Reports including the statements under the following headings: COVID-19 related risks; TCCC and other brand partners relationship risk; Economic and political risks; Cyber risk; Foreign exchange risk; Key personnel risk; Beverage industry risk; Regulatory risk; Corporate social responsibility risk; Climate change risk; Supply chain risk; Litigation and legal disputes risk; Malicious product tampering risk; Workplace Health & Safety (“WHS”) risk; Business interruption risk; Product quality risk; Fraud risk; and
  3. risks and uncertainties relating to the Acquisition, including the risk that the businesses will not be integrated successfully or such integration may be more difficult, time consuming or costly than expected, which could result in additional demands on CCEP’s resources, systems, procedures and controls, disruption of its ongoing business and diversion of management’s attention from other business concerns; the possibility that certain assumptions with respect to API or the Acquisition could prove to be inaccurate; burdensome conditions imposed in connection with any regulatory approvals; ability to raise financing; the potential that the Acquisition may involve unexpected liabilities for which there is no indemnity; the potential failure to retain key employees as a result of the Acquisition or during integration of the businesses and disruptions resulting from the Acquisition, making it more difficult to maintain business relationships; the potential for (i) negative reaction from financial markets, customers, regulators, employees and other stakeholders, (ii) litigation related to the Acquisition.

The full extent to which the COVID-19 pandemic will negatively affect CCEP and the results of its operations, financial condition and cash flows will depend on future developments that are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted, including the scope and duration of the pandemic and actions taken by governmental authorities and other third parties in response to the pandemic.

Definitions of alternative performance measures

Due to these risks, CCEP’s actual future results, dividend payments, capital and leverage ratios, growth, market share, tax rate, efficiency savings, and the results of the integration of the businesses following the Acquisition, including expected efficiency and combination savings, may differ materially from the plans, goals, expectations and guidance set out in forward-looking statements (including those issued by CCL prior to the Acquisition). These risks may also adversely affect CCEP’s share price. Additional risks that may impact CCEP’s future financial condition and performance are identified in filings with the SEC which are available on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. CCEP does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, except as required under applicable rules, laws and regulations. Furthermore, CCEP assumes no responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of any forward-looking statements. Any or all of the forward-looking statements contained in this filing and in any other of CCEP’s or CCL’s public statements (whether prior or subsequent to the Acquisition) may prove to be incorrect. CCEP does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, except as required under applicable rules, laws and regulations. Furthermore, CCEP assumes no responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of any forward-looking statements. Any or all of the forward-looking statements contained in this filing and in any other of CCEP’s or CCL’s public statements (whether prior or subsequent to the Acquisition) may prove to be incorrect.

We use certain alternative performance measures (non-GAAP performance measures) to make financial, operating and planning decisions and to evaluate and report performance. We believe these measures provide useful information to investors and as such, where clearly identified, we have included certain alternative performance measures in this document to allow investors to better analyse our business performance and allow for greater comparability. To do so, we have excluded items affecting the comparability of period-over-period financial performance as described below. The alternative performance measures included herein should be read in conjunction with and do not replace the directly reconcilable GAAP measures.

For purposes of this document, the following terms are defined:

‘‘As reported’’ are results extracted from our condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

‘‘Pro-forma’’ includes the results of CCEP and API as if the Acquisition had occurred at the beginning of the period presented, including acquisition accounting adjustments relating to provisional fair values. Pro forma also includes impact of the additional debt financing costs incurred by CCEP in connection with the Acquisition for all periods presented.

‘‘Comparable’’ is defined as results excluding items impacting comparability, which include restructuring charges, acquisition and integration related costs, inventory fair value step up related to acquisition accounting, the impact of the closure of the GB defined benefit benefit pension scheme and net tax items relating to rate and law changes. Comparable volume is also adjusted for selling days.

‘‘Pro-forma Comparable’’ is defined as the pro forma results excluding items impacting comparability, as described above.

‘‘Fx-neutral’’ is defined as period results excluding the impact of foreign exchange rate changes. Foreign exchange impact is calculated by recasting current year results at prior year exchange rates.

‘‘Capex’’ or “Capital expenditures’’ is defined as purchases of property, plant and equipment and capitalised software, plus payments of principal on lease obligations, less proceeds from disposals of property, plant and equipment. Capex is used as a measure to ensure that cash spending on capital investment is in line with the Group’s overall strategy for the use of cash.

‘‘Free cash flow’’ is defined as net cash flows from operating activities less capital expenditures (as defined above) and interest paid. Free cash flow is used as a measure of the Group’s cash generation from operating activities, taking into account investments in property, plant and equipment and non-discretionary lease and interest payments. Free cash flow is not intended to represent residual cash flow available for discretionary expenditures.

‘‘Adjusted EBITDA’’ is calculated as Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortisation (EBITDA), after adding back items impacting the comparability of period over period financial performance. Adjusted EBITDA does not reflect cash expenditures, or future requirements for capital expenditures or contractual commitments. Further, adjusted EBITDA does not reflect changes in, or cash requirements for, working capital needs, and although depreciation and amortisation are non-cash charges, the assets being depreciated and amortised are likely to be replaced in the future and adjusted EBITDA does not reflect cash requirements for such replacements.

‘‘Net Debt’’ is defined as the net of cash and cash equivalents less borrowings and adjusted for the fair value of hedging instruments related to borrowings and other financial assets/liabilities related to borrowings. We believe that reporting net debt is useful as it reflects a metric used by the Group to assess cash management and leverage. In addition, the ratio of net debt to adjusted EBITDA is used by investors, analysts and credit rating agencies to analyse our operating performance in the context of targeted financial leverage.

‘‘Dividend Payout Ratio’’ is defined as dividends as a proportion of comparable profit after tax.

Additionally, within this document, we provide certain forward-looking non-GAAP financial Information, which management uses for planning and measuring performance. We are not able to reconcile forward-looking non-GAAP measures to reported measures without unreasonable efforts because it is not possible to predict with a reasonable degree of certainty the actual impact or exact timing of items that may impact comparability throughout year.

Unless otherwise stated, percent amounts are rounded to the nearest 0.5%.



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